NORTH TEXAS (CBSDFW.COM) – TORNADO WARNING JOHNSON COUNTY – Heavy thunderstorm warning for DFW counters included – Wise, Denton, Parker, Tarrant, Collin, Cooke, Dallas and Grayson Counties expire at 9:45 p.m. Heavy thunderstorm warning for Bosque, Ellis, Hill, Johnson and Somervell County until 10:15 p.m.. The National Weather Service has issued a Tornado Watch for most of northern Texas until 2 AM. Timeline below.
Update 21:15
#Denton areas could see gusts of wind of up to 70 km / h – Residents are encouraged to take cover in DFW area counties. Live coverage CBSN DFW ==> https://t.co/mAEeIWoAkR pic.twitter.com/Xqaka0VQVE
– CBSDFW (@CBSDFW) October 11, 2021
Update 21:04
Strong winds are starting to arrive here in Haslet. Yes, I’m at Starbucks, caffeine is being reloaded in the store. ?☕@ScottPadgettCBS @ cbs11jeffrey pic.twitter.com/gbZ1dKDQHX
– Jason McLaughlin ?️?️?️?️?️ (@NorthTXWeather) October 11, 2021
Update 20:52
Heavy thunderstorm warning for Bosque, Comanche, Erath, Hamilton, Hood and Somervell County until 9:30 p.m. Heavy thunderstorm warning for Jack, Parker and Wise County until 9 p.m.
The lightning with the incoming storm road is insane…. pic.twitter.com/zsc8vfZOYU
– Doug Dunbar (@ cbs11doug) October 11, 2021
Update 20:45
8: 47p A quarter size hail possible with these storms over Parker County# CBS11wx #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/5L4NkutnwA
Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
Update 20:33
Storms are moving east at about 45 to 55 MPH.
Update 20:08
Heavy thunderstorm warning for Jack, Parker and Wise County until 9 p.m. Heavy thunderstorm warning for Comanche, Eastland and Erath County until 8:30 p.m.
Update 20:07
Due to predicted severe weather tonight, the State Fair of Texas closes at 8:30 p.m.. The fair normally closes at 21:00 on Sundays.
Update 20.00
FORT WORTH TIMELAPSE shows the squall line heading towards Metroplex, just as we were losing daylight. # CBS11wx #dfwwx #txwx pic.twitter.com/roYbC1Jeak
Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
The National Weather Service says wind speeds in some storms in Palo Pinto County reach 70 km / h.
Storm Arrival Times – Latest ETA – More Details – https://t.co/u2OW4NvtD3 pic.twitter.com/qEY1uMucRG
– CBSDFW (@CBSDFW) October 11, 2021
Update 19:54
Heavy thunderstorm warning for Cooke, Hood, Jack, Montague, Palo Pinto, Parker and Wise County until 9 p.m.
Update 19:49
Heavy thunderstorm warning for Comanche, Eastland and Erath County until 8:30 p.m.
Update 19:29
7: 29p At their current pace, the squall line will be in the center of Fort Worth in about an hour. Dangerous winds are expected. Plus clear the roads across #Parks #Clever #Hood amter. # CBS11wx #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/9bCR7YDvp9
Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
Update 19:26
7: 26p Be prepared to take shelter across the Jack Co, squall line moving about 60mph toward the county line. Secure any loose objects outside, the wind will be over 60 mph with storm. Lots of lightning. # CBS11wx #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/Orip4l71d3
Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
Update 19:18
7: 18p Line of severe weather moving very fast (near 60mph). These storms are VERY capable of producing 65+ mph winds. Please take shelter, they move in quickly. # CBS11wx #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/TUl8jr6ZjY
Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
Update: 19:13
Just a few seconds of the violent winds, estimated at 70 to 80 mph, affected Burkburnett TX within the last 30 minutes. pic.twitter.com/GtYjenYheF
– Jason McLaughlin ?️?️?️?️?️ (@NorthTXWeather) October 11, 2021
Radar
The story continues to focus on a serious weather threat tonight for the area. Metroplex and large parts of North Texas are under an IMPROVED RISK of severe weather for the first time this fall.
Previous forecast
The main risk will be to destroy winds along the fan line that we expect to move rapidly through Metroplex tonight. Discrete supercells could from first in front of the nearby dry line and cold front. These storms will give the highest risk of severe weather tonight. This includes the chance of tornadoes (highest risk in the NW counties – Wise, Jack, Montague) and along the Red River.
The Storm Prediction Center has released a tornado risk assessment for tonight that includes an area centered around Oklahoma, but also includes parts of northern Texas. It is in this area where powerful tornadoes could form and remain on the ground for a while.
All forecast models appear to have the same version of events, but with slightly different arrival times. Below is a sequence of time periods from the HRRR forecast model. The cold front will most likely catch up with the dryline storms ahead and sweep everything into a storm. This is the line that can produce damaging winds and rapid spin-up tornadoes across the Metroplex.
Please download our weather app so you can protect yourself from these storms tonight. We also update you all night on CBSN. Be weather aware! It has been since last spring that we had such a big threat of severe weather here.
In summary, Supercell storms should develop between 6p-8p in our western / northwestern counties. Heavy hail, damaging winds and tornadoes are all possible. A series of storms will form along the approaching cold front, sweeping these storms up into the evolving squall line. This storm is expected in Metroplex sometime after 21.00. Rapid spin-up tornadoes are possible along this line, but the primary threat will be harmful winds.
-Jeff Ray, CBS DFW Meteorologist
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