Sun. Oct 17th, 2021

Dr. Catherine Schuster-Bruce

Antivaccine trump rally

A protester has an anti-vaccination badge as a supporter of the President Donald Trump convention in Woodland Hills, California on May 16, 2020. David McNew / Getty Images

  • About 90,000 COVID-19 deaths in the United States between June and September could be prevented, say two U.S. nonprofits.

  • By September, 49,000 deaths could have been avoided if more adults had received a COVID-19 shot, they said.

  • The Kaiser Family Foundation and the Peterson Center on Healthcare cited a tracker using CDC data.

About 90,000 deaths from COVID-19 in the United States between early June and late September were likely to be prevented with vaccines, an analysis by two influential U.S. nonprofit organizations has found.

In September alone, about 49,000 deaths could have been avoided if more American adults had chosen to get a COVID-19 shot, researchers from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Peterson Center on Healthcare said in a report released Tuesday.

The researchers arrived at the numbers by analyzing data from the Peterson-Kaiser health system tracker, which uses the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data.


As it is now, 21.5% of American adults remain unvaccinated, according to the CDC.

Amin said there were “still ways” to reach unvaccinated people by continuing to tell them how effective vaccines are. The “overwhelming majority” of deaths, serious illnesses and COVID-19 hospitalizations among unvaccinated people, she said, according to the Daily Mail.

Actual data from the US, UK and France have shown that COVID-19 vaccines are at least 90% effective against severe COVID-19.

To get the 90,000s, researchers first calculated the number of people who had died of COVID-19 between early June and late September. All U.S. adults have been eligible for a vaccine since early May, so by June, U.S. adults could have been fully vaccinated and protected from most cases of serious illness or death due to COVID-19, they said.

The study authors then discounted deaths among vaccinated people as well as adolescents who had died of COVID-19 without being eligible for a shot.

They then assumed that 91% of the remaining unvaccinated deaths would have been prevented by COVID-19 shots, citing a September CDC study.

Amin warned that the results could not be used to predict future trends because factors related to COVID-19 changed over time such as variants, the number of people vaccinated and the degree of lockdown.

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