Trump leads in hypothetical GOP primary in 2024: poll

Former President TrumpDonald TrumpMcAuliffe, Youngkin holds last campaign meeting ahead of the close Virginia gubernatorial race. Vote: 50 percent of Republicans do not believe their vote will be counted accurately Overnight Defense & National Security – Subcontract Sparring Intensifies MORE maintains a dominant lead over other Republicans in a potential presidential election in 2024, according to a new study from Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll published exclusively for The Hill.

Trump gets support from 47 percent of registered Republican and independent voters in a primary election, 37 points higher than his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantisStone says he will run for governor of Florida if DeSantis does not carry out the audit. Republican gerrymandering promises even more polarized Congress University of Florida excludes three professors from testifying in a lawsuit over the election proposal MORE (R), which comes in second place with 10 per cent.

No other candidate breaks double-digit, with former Vice President Mike PenceMichael (Mike) Richard PenceTrump lawyer accused Pence of causing Capitol attack: report Photos of the week: Bipawtisan Dog Costume parade, California floods and tiger cubs Pence talks about school issues in Loudoun County ahead of Virginia election MORE comes in third place with 9 percent. Another 19 percent said they were unsure.

In a field where Trump is not running, Pence has a narrow lead with 23 percent support, just ahead of DeSantis’ 21 percent. In that field, Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzFlake, Cindy McCain among recent Biden ambassadors confirmed after delay Overnight Health Care – Presented by Carequest – Colin Powell’s death highlights risks for immunocompromised Senate confirmation process broken – Senate Democrats can fix it MORE (Texas) is the only other two-digit Republican with 12 percent.

“Donald Trump remains the candidate to beat in the Republican primary even though he is below 50 percent, so he is not invincible. “Governor Ron DeSantis continues to strengthen despite limited recognition as the next forthcoming election,” the pollster said. Mark PennMark PennPoll: Trump will dominate the Republican primary in 2024. Vote: Biden, Trump statistically tied in favor. The majority of voters say the country is on the wrong track: poll MORE.

Trump has not finally said whether he will run for the White House again, although his allies have predicted he will run for a third presidential election in 2024.

The latest poll tracks similar recent polls, all of which show Trump would be the overwhelming favorite to win the 2024 GOP nomination if he chooses to run.

However, the former president’s approval rating is underwater, with 44 percent of registered voters approving him and 49 percent rejecting.

On the democratic side, President BidenJoe BidenBiden Administration Aiming for Methane Emissions McConnell Blows Up Potential Payments to Separate Migrant Families Poll: 50 Percent of Republicans Do Not Think Their Voice Will Be Exactly MORE has indicated he will line up, though some have speculated that the 78-year-old will bow after a period.

In a scenario where Vice President Harris is the Democratic nominee in 2024, the poll shows she follows DeSantis by a margin of 42 percent to 40 percent in a head-to-head battle, while she would be lagging behind Sen. Tim ScottTimothy (Tim) Eugene ScottWho is brave enough to be Trump’s candidate in 2024? Black Caucus pushes for priorities in final deal Tim Scott takes 0.3 million in third quarter MORE (RS.C.) by a margin of 42 percent to 39 percent. She is attached to former Foreign Minister Mike PompeoMike PompeoBlinken formally announces new State Department cyber agency Hillicon Valley – TikTok, Snapchat seeks to distance itself from Facebook state: US ‘strongly opposes’ expansion of Israeli settlement MORE at 41 percent among registered voters.

The survey from Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll was conducted among 1,578 registered voters 26-28. October. It’s a collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and Harris Poll.

The survey is an online sample from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographic conditions. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.


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